Methodology / LTPI

LTPI.

The public repo labels this model as `LTPI` and publishes it on the Models page as the long-term trend read. The acronym expansion is not disclosed in the current public implementation.

Objective Measure slower structural crypto trend on a weekly horizon.
Universe Broad crypto market structure with Bitcoin included as an explicit input.
Inputs Total crypto market capitalization, the Bitcoin chart, the `LTPI` summary tab, and `LT Total Forward Testing`.
Public Boundary The site publishes the standardized score and verified dated observations; the detailed indicator register remains proprietary.
Transformations The current public repo does not disclose the exact transformations used to turn the weekly inputs into the published score.
Transformations Proprietary transformations are not published. The public score remains on the disclosed normalized scale.
Weighting No explicit weighting schedule is published in the current repo.
Normalization The score is published on a normalized `-1.00` to `+1.00` scale.
Thresholds `-1.00 to -0.75` Extreme Risk-Off, `-0.75 to -0.25` Defensive Contraction, `-0.25 to +0.25` Neutral Transition, `+0.25 to +0.75` Constructive Expansion, `+0.75 to +1.00` Full Risk-On.
Update Frequency The public site re-reads the workbook every five minutes by default and carries through the worksheet’s published update label when available.
Interpretation LTPI is a structural weekly condition measure. It should be compared with MTPI and the derived NSPI rather than treated as a certainty claim.
Historical Testing Public history comes from dated rows in `LT Total Forward Testing` only.
Distinction From MRPI LTPI is a crypto trend model. MRPI is a separate 10-year Treasury pressure system framed as tightening versus easing. They answer different questions.